During the development of the Nile basin DSS, a number of consultation meetings and workshops were held to identify the key indicators that stakeholders in the Nile Basin are most interested in. This was part of a consultancy called 'Data Compilation and Pilot Application of the Nile Basin Decision Support System'. Based upon the discussions between the stakeholders, the consultant identified a number of key indicators that can be used in the DSS to evaluate scenarios and undertake MCA and CBA. These indicators were divided into the following three categories:

Social indicators

Environmental indicators

Economic indicators


A scripting library was developed for the calculation of the above indicators. The scripts are organized into the following eight storages:

· BaseUtils: Generic scripts for common mathematical calculations, interpolation, lookups etc.

· SpreadsheetUtils: Scripts for accessing DSS spreadsheets and retrieving arrays and/or lookup values from the spreadsheets.

· IndicatorUtils: Supporting scripts for calculating environmental, social and economic indicators and calculation of ecologically relevant time series statistics.

· NBIScripts: Scripts for calculation of food production indicators (Developed by NBI)

· RasterUtils: Scripts for raster processing, mainly for flood damage calculations.

· Environmental Indicators: Scripts for calculation of environmental indicators.

· Social Indicators: Scripts for calculation of social indicators.

· Economic Indicators Scripts for calculation of economic indicators.


Figure 1 shows the dependencies between the above script storages.


 

Figure 1: Script Storages and Dependencies


In the following section, definition of the scripts that are used to calculate the DDS indicators is given.

 

Scripts Definition

In this section, for each predefined script, the following is presented:

1. script sub-category

2. script name

3. a description of what the script does


Social Indicators

Sub-category

NB-DSS Script name

Description

Water Availability

SO1_WaterAvailability

Calculates the change in availability of water for riparian users:  domestic consumption, subsistence agriculture and  livestock

Community Health and Safety

SO2_MalariaEndemicity

Calculates the susceptibility of irrigation scheme areas to malaria based on WHO malaria incidence map for Africa

SO3_PestDiseasePrevalence

Calculates the prevalence of diseases resulting from pest species

SO4_UrbanPollution

Calculates the water pollution downstream major urban areas

SO5_HouseholdsFlooded

Calculates the No households within the 100 year flood line

SO6_DrowningRisk

Calculates the drowning risk due to conveyance of water in an open canal

Food security and Livelihoods

SO7_FormalIrrigation

Calculates the footprint area due to establishment of new irrigation schemes

SO81_RecessionAgricFloodPlain

Calculates the impact on Recession agriculture due to floodplain inundation

SO82_RecessionAgricBank

Calculates the impact on Recession agriculture due bank instability

SO91_FishProductionDam

Calculates the change in fish productivity in a dam, lake, or wetland

SO92_FishProductionRiver

Calculates the change in fish productivity along a river reach

SO10_ProductiveLandUse

Calculates the productive land use for crops, grazing inundated by dam or lost due to establishment of an irrigation scheme or a canal

SO11_LossNaturalResources

Calculates the change loss of access to natural resources due to inundation by dam or establishment of an irrigation scheme or a canal

Displacement

SO12_PhysicalDisplacement

Calculates the physical displacement of population due to inundation by a dam, establishment of an irrigation scheme or construction of a canal

SO13_EconomicDisplacement

Calculates the economic displacement due to disruption of access to natural resources (cattle, people, wildlife) as a result of a canal and/or a dam construction

  

Environmental Indicators

Sub-Category 

NB-DSS Script Name 

Description 

Footprint Areas

EN1_EnvSensitiveAreas

Calculates the extent of Environmentally Sensitive Area within a dam, irrigation scheme or canal footprint

EN11_EnvSensitiveRating

Calculates the impact rating on environmentally sensitive area within a dam, irrigation scheme or canal footprint

EN12_HotspotRating

Determines the wetlands of international importance (Ramsar Sites) and Important Bird Areas (IBAs) that fall outside of protected areas, but within primary impact zones.

EN2_Carbon

Calculates the area of woody biomass and biomass carbon within dam footprint

EN3_FishProduction

Estimates fish production from a dam, lake or a wetland

Downstream Areas

EN4_FloodPlainInundation

Calculates the floodplain area inundated compared to a baseline

EN42_WetlandArea

Calculates the wetland area inundated compared to a baseline

EN5_EcoStressRating

Determines ecological stress rating from changes in key flow components and flow variability compared to baseline.

EN6_WetDuration

Calculates the wet season duration based on median monthly flows

EN7_BlackFlyRating

Determines black fly rating from HP operation, changes in low flows and variability compared to baseline.

EN8_BankStability

Calculates bank stability rating downstream of impoundment based on standard deviation of flows and predefined sinuosity

EN9_RecoveryDistance

Estimates recovery distance based on median discharge from impoundment and distance to downstream tributary

EN10_WetSeasonShift

Calculates number of weeks delay in the onset of wet season compared to a baseline

Water Quality

EN11_PhytoPlankton

Estimated the phytoplankton growth potential based on empirical relationship with retention time

EN12_AquaticMacrophyte

Estimates aquatic macrophyte growth potential based on empirical relationship with nitrate concentration in irrigation scheme return flow

 

 Economic Indicators

Category 

NB-DSS Script Name 

Description 

Navigation

EC1_Navigation

Calculates number of days above baseline flow threshold or change relative to baseline

Energy

EC21_AverageEnergy

Calculates average energy generated at specific hydropower node over a specified period

EC22_AverageEnergy_System

Calculates system wide average annual energy

Water conservation

EC31_EvapLoss

Calculates average annual evaporation from a dam, a wetland or a lake

EC32_EvapLoss_System

Calculates system wide average annual evaporation

Floods

Flood Damage

Calculates flood damage based on damage-depth relationships for different land use types

Food production

EC51_FoodProductionSingle

Calculates food production of new irrigation schemes 

EC51_FoodProduction

Calculates the potential reduction in crop yield of existing irrigation schemes  due to upstream developments

EC51_ProductionIncomeSingle

Calculates actual crop income of new irrigation schemes

EC51_ProductionIncome

Calculates change in crop income of existing irrigation schemes  due to upstream developments